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Crown Green Handicap

Graham Ashcroft

Team: Lane Ends CDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

588

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

16

Matches Played

5

Wins

11

Losses

31%

Win Rate

3.8

Avg Win Margin

7.0

Avg Loss Margin

4-5

Home Record

1-6

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
16 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/2/2026

Only 16 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 152/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 16 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

15 Apr29 Apr13 May17 Jun7 Jul29 Jul11 Aug2 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
31%
score-0.38→contribution-0.15
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
3.8
score-0.70→contribution-0.18
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
31%
score-0.38→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
682
score-0.80→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.417
Sample Size Confidence
50%(16/41 matches) · floored
Rating875 → shrunk 938→ adjusted 588
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)588
Recency Blend21% (16 recent matches)
Final Rating588
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W11L16 matches·31.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends C2026Division 31651131.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/2/2026Neal GardnerH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026K WebsterA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
8/11/2026Neil SherwoodA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2026J ConultyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2026Andy HillH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026John MayerH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/7/2026Peter FreeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2026Bill AssonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2026K WebsterH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/19/2026Dave OllertonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026Kevin CunninghamH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/5/2026Phil NewA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2026Malcolm WattersonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
4/21/2026Paul BoltonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2026Ward HattonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
4/7/2026Neal GardnerA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLLWWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Neal Gardner11250%9/2/2026
K Webster0220%8/26/2026
Neil Sherwood0110%8/11/2026
J Conulty0110%8/5/2026
Andy Hill101100%7/29/2026
John Mayer101100%7/14/2026
Peter Free0110%7/7/2026
Bill Asson0110%7/1/2026
Dave Ollerton101100%5/19/2026
Kevin Cunningham0110%5/13/2026
Biggest Win
Neal Gardner (+8)9/2/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Neil Sherwood (-13)8/11/2026
Best Season
202631% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202631% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
25% → 38%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
68216 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-1131% win rate
Division 331.3%
5W·11L·16 played

Debut

Apr 7, 2026

Latest

Sep 2, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (5 mo span)

Matches / Season

16.0 (16 total)

Seasons

2026